While the JSE All Share index may be hitting all-time highs, the last few years have been brutal on the personal balance sheets of many South Africans. A combination of volatile markets – which have played havoc with asset allocation – unpredictable job markets and a slumping housing market has meant that investors facing retirement could well be on the back foot and eyeing some preserved savings sitting in an investment portfolio or retirement product.
Consider the following scenario:
Finweek readers and married couple, Mike and Sheila Jones, plan to retire in 12 years’ time.
Mike is a dentist and after Sheila was retrenched a year ago, she has followed her dream and love of cooking and now operates a successful catering business, which she runs from home. They are both in very good health. Each of them earns R750 000 a year, bringing their total joint annual income to R1.5m (before tax, approximately R80 000 a month after tax).
Currently they have an investment portfolio worth R2.8m which is split 35% into bond funds and 65% into equity unit trust funds. They have an outstanding mortgage bond of R2.5m. The value of the house has depreciated and is now only worth R2.2m. They have R100 000 outstanding on a personal loan taken out to cover the costs of Sheila’s retrenchment and business start-up costs. They also have university tuition fees of R36 000 to pay for their daughter over the next three years. Their monthly expenses are R35 000, excluding their bond, tuition and loan repayments.
What are their options to ensure a safe retirement?
According to Heather Robertson a Certified Financial Planner at Blink Consulting, there are times when it’s appropriate to dip into your investment portfolio to settle debt. “It does not make sense to service high-interest debt when you have savings available,” she told Finweek.
Apart from bolstering their investment with an additional R5 000/month, Robertson suggests that they get a financial planner who can assist them with their asset allocation.
“I would advise them to consider placing their accumulated savings into a selection of balanced funds (also known as managed funds) which include exposure to equities, bonds, property, cash instruments and offshore in their fund. Apart from stock-picking, a balanced-fund manager has a flexible mandate that allows him to actively move funds between the various asset classes to ensure that investors always have the most appropriate mix, thereby reducing investment risk,” she says. Examples of popular balanced funds include Stanlib Balanced, Allan Gray Balanced, Coronation Balanced Plus, Investec Managed, Momentum Balanced, Prudential Balanced, and Foord Balanced.
Robertson believes that if the Jones’s were to follow these recommendations, Mr and Mrs Jones will be able to retire in 12 years’ time. They would have accumulated enough assets to provide them with an after tax income equivalent to R35 000 a month for 20 years, increasing with inflation each year and thereby repairing their damaged personal balance sheets. **
** Assumptions made: Assume annual inflation of 6%, net investment growth before retirement of 10% a year and 8% after retirement, and savings contributions increased by 8% a year.
An alternative approach
Evelyn Herzfeld, of Evelyn Herzfeld financial Planning, suggests: “Our couple have an approximate take-home income (after tax) of R80 000 a month. Their expenses of R35 000 plus approximately R25 000 (bond) and R2 000 (personal loan) leave them with only R18 000 for tuition and all other expenses not covered by the R35 000. This situation is unrealistic and needs to be revamped, so that they can also make provision for the retirement they seek in 12 years’ time.
Holding an investment portfolio is a really good way of accumulating wealth, but given the current cash-flow situation, combined with the current volatility of the equity market, the investment is probably not growing at a rate even equal to the financing cost of the outstanding bond and personal loan. We therefore recommend that our couple liquidate all of their debt using the funds in their investment, which will relieve their monthly output of R27 000 and remove all borrowing costs from their expenses.
The investment will hold a residual balance of only R200 000 but this will still cover the tuition fees required over the next three years, and our couple can now start rebuilding their investments, using a portion of the extra R27 000 they have on a monthly basis and ensuring that they maximise their tax deductions in the process. Contributions to a retirement annuity are tax deductible up to 15% of your pre-tax income, while growth in a retirement annuity is not taxed.
We therefore recommend that this couple contributes R18 750 a month, into two separate retirement annuity contracts (one for each of them) proportionately to their respective earnings. This will reduce their tax bill and give them a lump sum tax refund each year, which should also be reinvested into their retirement annuities. That way, they are being assisted by the Receiver of Revenue to accumulate wealth towards a comfortable retirement. Their contributions can also be increased annually by the same percentage that they anticipate their incomes will rise, so that they continue to maximise their tax deductions each year.
The growth rate that their investments will achieve cannot be foreseen, but the investments need to be placed in portfolios to maximise their growth, so that sufficient capital can be accumulated to support their retirement. The capital required will depend on the monthly income on which they wish to retire. A rough rule of thumb is that R1m capital is required for each R10 000 of income.
The residual R8 250 of the reduced monthly expenditure (if not required elsewhere) can also be reinvested in the couple’s bond and unit trust investment, in order to further enhance their wealth accumulation, even though this investment will provide no tax deductions for them.
At age 65 our couple will also have the option of selling their large family home. Hopefully the property market will be more favourable then, and they will be able to sell at a market-related price, and purchase a smaller, more manageable property for their retirement. The smaller property will likely cost less than the selling price of their large home, and the difference in profit can be further invested in their retirement income. This pre-supposes that their good health continues, and that markets will again rise from their present levels.
Over the next 12 years the total amount invested into the two retirement annuities will be well in excess of R3m (depending upon the annual increases they apply to the contributions), which will also have accumulated growth, which should provide our couple with a comfortable retirement income, augmented by their unit trust investment which will also have grown, and any profit made when downsizing their property.”